Saratoga Wednesday Late Pick 5

Picks & Analysis for 8/30/23

 Race 6 | Dirt | 7 Furlongs
#7 Printrack Going the right way and building speed lately with a good 80/68 conditioner in the mud in last. Now onto a sloppy track that has a good chance to carry speed.
#4 No More Talk Consistently banking higher Final Figures than this field by a touch while also displaying a bit more compression. Can be best in lane if kickback isn’t an issue.
Deep Adds: 2,5,6

Race 7 | Off-Turf | 9 Furlongs
#16 Paris Style (FR) Can clear and control this race despite the wide post out of a 70/69 DTOP in the mud, a running line that towers rivals who’ve tried the same spin.
#10 She’s Mo Bubbly Moving off a REV/PLOW combo, should be going good late.

Race 8 | Dirt | 8 Furlongs
#5 Leave No Trace Comes off a dud 78/37 NPT running line which is always a sub-pattern to look at for many reasons. Despite the non-effort late, it serves as a good conditioner to strengthen the horse for next out when an honest effort is given. You can also get inflated odds sometimes as some bettors scoff at the “pop and stop” look.
#6 Olga Isabel Off an easy win and most compressed running line of career at 76h/76, there’s no ceiling for how good she could be today.

Race 9 | Off-Turf | 8 Furlongs
#11 Miz Sense Standout here off the 62/65h COMP* debut, a very professional pattern not all that common with debut runners. That said, she’s no lock even in a short field as most rivals in here handled hot paces on turf or synthetic and could break out, love the slop, and just steal this one. Bettors hate the idea of spreading in small fields and will force themselves to single here causing upsets in short fields to be much more valuable than you’d think. My ticket structure will end up spending more money against the #11 than for.
Deep Adds: 1,5,9 with preference to #9

Race 10 | Off-Turf | 8 Furlongs
#15 I’m Just Off a forward-looking 78h/61h NPT at Belmont, this course configuration is going to play better to that running line while also benefiting from the MSW to MCL drop.

I’ll take a skinny shot with $34 to try and win multiple payouts.
$1: 2,4,5,6,7 / 16 / 5,6 / 11 / 15
$1: 4,7 / 10,16 / 5,6 / 11 / 15
$0.50: 2,4,5,6,7 / 10,16 / 5,6 / 9 / 15
$1: 4,7 / 16 / 5,6 / 9 / 15
$0.50: 4,7 / 16 / 5,6 / 1,5 / 15