New Year's Eve Selections

Tampa Bay Downs | Race 2 | Dirt | 6 Furlongs | Post 12:45 ET
#1 One Tough Dame
Needs to improve a bit here but has the right trajectory to give an honest effort off the CPT. The value of catching longshots in small fields is often underrated as multi-race wagers connected to small fields that produce upsets can have surprising payouts due to so many players not wanting to spread in those short fields and forcing themselves to go skinny or single because they think it’s the only option.

Aqueduct | Race 3 | Dirt | 8 Furlongs | Post 1:18 ET
#8 Vintage
Geared up off the break to 79h/60h NPT. Love to see these NPT’s with an “off” Final. This can indicate the difference between a “bad effort” and a “non-effort.” The public just sees a dud of a race so these runners can run back and pay overlaid prices when they end up exhibiting much better energy distribution this time around. 8 / 1,4

Fair Grounds | Race 2 | Dirt | 8.3 Furlongs | 2:15 ET
#10 Larry’s Lunchbox
NPT with “off” Final but preceding race plenty competitive for today’s field. Rebounds here. Looking for NPT exacta with #4 Foe

Aqueduct | Race 8 | Dirt | 9 Furlongs | Post 3:40 ET
#3 Lost Ark
Looks sneaky in here off the PLOW/SOFT combo while not seeing dry dirt in a while. Most everyone else drawing attention coming off wins but buried is this is

Tampa Bay Downs | Race 9 | Turf | 8 Furlongs | Post 4:14 ET
#2 Mongolian Apple
Spot play from Value Plays algorithm. Top Contenders with a PLOW in Turf Routes L1Y at TAM: 23 entries / 35% winners / +41% ROI.