Horses To Watch

Churchill Downs

Race 3 | Dirt | 6 Furlongs | $30k SA FM3+
#5 Evie’s Encore
Rocks a “lone compression” angle consistently sporting mathematically negative dirt spreads which is an outlying look from the rest of the field that is much more forwardly spent. Plenty of opportunity for a favorable pace scenario to develop here.

Race 6 | Dirt | 8.5 Furlongs | $10k MCL 3+
#3 American Raider
10-race maiden gets first look at the main track. The near 0 synthetic spreads could offer condition that features enough early speed to be in touch complimented by enough late speed to sustain. Threw a dud with new training regimen of barn switch but got back on cycle in last to comparable Figures of the NPT/REV combo earlier in campaign.

Race 7 | Turf | 8.5 Furlongs | $127k Alw NW2 FM3+
#6 Stephanie’s Charm
Fits the “Bests” System (pg 184) holding the highest Final Figure on turf over the last 3 races while still in campaign based on the 79.6 earned 3 races back. Makes her a bet at 12/1+.

Race 9 | Dirt | 6 Furlongs | $200k Roxelana Overnight S. FM4+
#9 Socially Selective
Looks to keep rolling off a REV/SOFT combo of wins. Several E-types in here could make for a race flow that gives way to this one’s more tactical running lines such as 70h/70h in last compared to the 80/70 range the top ML’s have all been running.

Race 10 | Dirt | 6 Furlongs | $50k MCL FM3+
#9 Rubia
Back to a dirt sprint today where she has strong pace buried in the range of 80+ 2F/4F Figures in 3 of 4 tries. Can be forwardly-placed dropping to face weaker today.