Belmont Park Thursday

Race 1 | Turf | 5 Furlongs
#4 Marco T. should be the favorite here with experience and excellent 2^nd out stats for the barn. Lots of firsters in here so tough to be confident at a short price though. Probably no bet but #5 Nicky Jolene does look tempting for small wager if double-digits with turf-winning siblings and a hot trainer/owner combo.

Race 2 | Dirt | 7 Furlongs
#4 You Look Cold would be my stand-out favorite in here with a nice mixture of speed to be in range but with lots of compression (72.3 / 73.9 in last) for a sprinter to be going best in the lane. I’m fine taking the 2/1 ML if that’s what we’re offered.

Race 3 | Turf | 8.5 Furlongs
#7 Paratus looks like a threat to walk here off mid-60 6F Figures while much of the field sports more traditional turf spreads with low 50s 6F Figures. Minor upset shot off a 6/1 ML would be #6 Spettro who came off the winter break to a compressed 72.9 / 71.2 which should transfer well to this bump in distance.

Race 4 | Dirt | 6.5 Furlongs
#1 Catchyasoon with the new and exciting form off the break popping a 76.7 / 71.4 victory. Barn liked the spin enough to bump his price up and I’m game to back him for the repeat. Honorable mentions would go to the OP shippers with #5 Emerald Forest sporting consistent compression through career and #8 Wayakin popping advantageous 4F Figures at times.

Race 5 | Turf | 7 Furlongs
#2 Billy’s Got Issues looks the value of the race for me doing well to run between horses in last and having a little better late kick than the rest. #7 Lawful and #11 Luna Warrior both sport good spread progression coming in but I image will be Top 2 in betting so we’ll try the #2 here.

Race 6 | Dirt | 7 Furlongs 
#3 Tosconova Beauty sports standout 4F Figures in here compared to the field and could be tough if she can get clear early. Currently on a winning streak and often FL shippers get disrespected on the board. Best local charge looks like #9 Clover Street whose running lines have been on an uptick this year and although DTOP in last means she’s a threat to bounce, I’ll bank her to break through it and keep improving.

Race 7 | Turf | 6 Furlongs
#9 Into The Sunrise is the upset pick here off an 8/1 ML after pushing hot speed at 91.2 / 85.1. Every rival that caught her in last moved on to stakes competition so we’ll see if she catches an easier field today and gets it done. 

Race 8 | Dirt | 8 Furlongs
#1 Tonal Impact immediately catches the eye off double CPTs as well as #7 Uncle Moonlight off a big forward-spent win of 77.3 / 73.3 and #6 Business Model who compliments that effort with a big late-spent win of 67.2 / 74.2. Competitive race and I could see about any of these having a shot to win with the results coming down to race flow here.

Race 9 | Turf | 7 Furlongs
Tough to find a confident standout in another competitive race here. Lean toward #6 Pimenova who Value Plays’ algo likes here off one of the tighter spreads of this field at -4 for sprints although no runner sports ideal fundamentals here at a glance. #8 Daddyslilbosslady could threaten off a -6 spread if shipping well from FL. #1 Robyn And Eli likely favorite for CB here which could leave juicy odds on others if you can find a reason to take a shot elsewhere. #3 Beautifully Wicked is a tempting bomb in a full field of runners that have already failed to graduate multiple times for an under-the-radar barn that’s surprised before.